Financial Equilibrium · Credit Deal Assessment

Demonstration Calculation: Testing a Credit Deal for Efficiency

A methodological breakdown of how to test a credit transaction by the structure of its economic burden — and how, on a single asset, to show the difference between a sound and a flawed deal.

Methodology

1.Core Principle

Most people compare the monthly loan payment with the market rental rate — and stop there. But these two figures belong to different logical levels, and neither tells you whether the deal has any economic justification.

The Problem with the Conventional Comparison

The Third Figure: Balanced Rent (BR)

The Balanced Rent (BR) is a calculated rental rate derived from the asset itself, not from the market and not from the bank's terms. It sits at the equilibrium of two boundaries:

BR is an independent benchmark of the economic value of using the asset. That is exactly the right reference point for testing a credit deal.

How the Calculator Works

  1. Computes BR from the asset parameters and operating conditions.
  2. Sums the total economic burden of the loan: interest paid to the bank plus the opportunity cost of own funds. Principal repayment is not a cost: it builds your equity in the asset.
  3. Computes the efficiency coefficient K = BR ÷ total economic burden.
K = BR ÷ (Savings depreciation + Bank interest)

Interpreting the Result

Notation

2.Indicators and Symbols

Every quantity used in the assessment is denoted by a symbol and has a name, formula, and unit.

SymbolIndicatorFormula / meaning
wCost of the asset financedinput · currency
prLoan interest rate% per annum
depAlternative investment return% per annum
t₁ / t₂ / tPreparation term / operating term / total termt = t₁ + t₂ · months
aDown payment% of cost
remImprovement investment% of cost
drOther liabilitiescurrency / month
raMarket rentcurrency / month
dolShare of liabilities in budget%
salogCollateral / pledgecurrency

Derived quantities

SymbolIndicatorFormula
iiDown paymentii = w·a / 100
irImprovement investmentir = w·rem / 100
Σᵢ (sumi)Total initial investmentsumi = ii + ir
kLoan principalk = w − ii
kredMonthly paymentannuity on k, pr, t
sumremAsset depreciation / monthsumi / t₂
prozBank interest + insurance / monthkred + dr − k/t
depm2Savings depreciation / month(sumi·fvf − sumi)/t
fvfAccumulation factor(1+dep/12)^t
Στ (totreq)Total economic burden / monthproz + depm2
BR (ar)Balanced rentderived from the balance condition = 1

Indicators

SymbolIndicatorFormulaCriterion
KEfficiency coefficientBR ÷ ΣτK ≥ 1 — deal justified
K < 1 — not justified
AMarket-conditions coefficientra ÷ BRA ≈ 1 — market is fair
A < 1 — market is undervalued
BMatch indexBR ÷ kredsimple ratio
IDIndicative income(kred + dr + sumrem) ÷ dolincome the deal requires
BalBalance of forcestenant capital ÷ rent= 1,000 — equilibrium
Case · two balanced deals

3.Terms of the Two Deals

Both are brought to Balance = 1,000. They differ in cost, term and, as a result, in justification. This is the same market rent (ra = 1 111/month), the same household.

Deal 1 · PERMISSIBLE

w = 90 000 · t = 91

Aligned with balance and market
Deal 2 · WANTED / BANK OFFERS

w = 200 000 · t = 240

"Bigger and longer"
Calculation · stage 1

4.Asset and Borrower Parameters

IndicatorDeal 1Deal 2
w90 000200 000
a / rem20% / 10%20% / 10%
Σᵢ27 00060 000
k72 000160 000
t₁ / t₂12 / 790 / 240
pr / dep17% / 13%17% / 13%
ra · dol1 111 · 40%1 111 · 40%
Calculation · stage 2

5.Total Economic Burden

IndicatorSymbolDeal 1Deal 2
Monthly paymentkred1 412,752 346,88
Asset depreciation / monthsumrem341,77250,00
Total monthly commitmentskred+dr+sumrem1 754,522 596,88
Bank interest + insurance / monthproz621,541 680,21
Savings depreciation / monthdepm2494,273 069,20
Total economic burden / monthΣτ1 115,814 749,41
Accumulated savingssb71 978,58796 607,53
Accumulated benefit (renting instead of buying)rg46 354,53789 838,31
Tenant capitalrg + sb118 333,111 586 445,84
Accumulation factorfvf2,665913,2768
Why Στ grows faster than the payment. In Deal 2 the loan is 2.2× larger and the term is 2.6× longer. The payment only rises 1.66× (2 346,88 vs 1 412,75), but the total burden rises 4.3× (4 749,41 vs 1 115,81). The cause is the long term: 20 years of capitalising the frozen 60 000 own funds yields 3 069,20 of forgone gain per month, against 494,27 in Deal 1. A stretched term hides the true cost behind an "affordable" payment.
Comment on accumulated savings (sb). sb is not "savings" in the everyday sense; it is the alternative value of frozen own funds: how much your money would have grown had you not spent it on the asset but invested it at rate dep over the full term t. That is why the benchmark for sb is the asset's own price w, and here is what it shows:
  • Sound deal: sb does not exceed the asset price. In Deal 1 sb = 71 978,58 at w = 90 000 → 0.80×. The frozen funds are proportionate to what the asset is worth. Capital locked in the asset does not "inflate" beyond its value — the deal stays in the economic corridor.
  • Flawed deal: sb significantly exceeds the asset price. In Deal 2 sb = 796 607,53 at w = 200 000 → 3.98×. Your money, had it stayed in circulation, would have grown nearly four times more than the asset itself is worth. You consume four times more alternative value than the asset can return — the structure is economically loss-making, and the term is more to blame than the rate.
Conclusion. sb is a quick indicator of permissibility: if accumulated savings soar to several times the asset price, the deal fails the test; if they do not exceed it, freezing the money is economically justified.
Calculation · stage 3

6.Balanced Rent and the Decisive Indicators

IndicatorSymbolDeal 1Deal 2
Balanced rentBR1 111,301 649,90
Market rentra1 111,001 111,00
Market-conditions coefficientA = ra ÷ BR1,000,67
Match indexB = BR ÷ kred0,790,70
Efficiency coefficientK = BR ÷ Στ0,9960,347
Indicative incomeID4 386,316 492,20
Balance of forcesBal1,0001,000
How to read it. Both deals have Balance = 1,000 — a normalisation condition, not a verdict. The verdict comes from K and A. In Deal 2 the BR (1 649,90) is 49% above the real market (ra = 1 111), i.e. the fair price of using the asset exceeds the market price — A = 0,67. And the total burden exceeds that fair price almost threefold — K = 0,347.
Tenant capital

7.Two Flows of Tenant Capital: Accumulated Savings and Accumulated Benefit

The model builds the tenant's capital (the party assessing the deal) from two different sources. It is important not to confuse them — they answer different questions.

IndicatorWhat it isWhere it comes fromFormula
Accumulated savings (sb) The alternative value of frozen own funds — how much the money would have grown had it not been spent on the asset but invested at rate dep. Only from your invested capital (down payment + improvement). Independent of rent and payment. sb = (Σᵢ − Collateral) · fvf
Accumulated benefit (rg) The alternative result of choosing rent over purchase — how much you would have saved by renting: (payment + other − rent) each month, accumulated at the same rate. From the gap between your payment/maintenance and the rental rate. Rent itself consumes part of it, so the benefit can be negative. rg = ann · (kred + dr − rent)
How they differ.
  • sb — about the money you already handed over. It is the price of what you froze in the asset; it shows how much you lose at the alternative rate.
  • rg — about the choice "rent vs buy". It is what you gain or lose comparing the monthly cost of ownership with the rent, accumulated.
  • The model uses them differently: sb enters the total burden (via savings depreciation) and the tenant's capital, while rg adjusts the tenant's capital in favour of the "rental scenario" — but only for as long as it is a benefit; if renting is more expensive than owning, rg turns negative and cuts the capital.
  • Their benchmarks differ: sb is checked against the asset price w (sb ≤ w — permissible), while rg is checked against accumulated rent (that is the Balance). Final tenant capital = rg + sb, and it feeds into the Balance.
Illustration on the case. In Deal 1, sb (71 978,58) does not exceed the asset price (w = 90 000), and rg (46 354,53) is moderate — tenant capital 118 333,11, the deal is in the corridor. In Deal 2, both sb (796 607,53) and rg (789 838,31) are inflated to hundreds of thousands: tenant capital 1 586 445,84 — four times the asset price (w = 200 000). Both flows grew beyond measure precisely because of the long term, not because it is a better "deal" for you.
Visualisation

8.True Burden vs Fair Rent

0 1 500 3 000 4 500 Deal 1 · permissible · 91 mo Deal 2 · wanted / bank · 240 mo 1 115,81 Burden Στ BR 1 111 Fair rent 4 749,41 Burden Στ BR 1 650 Fair rent K = 0,996 · A = 1,00 K = 0,347 · A = 0,67

In Deal 1 the total burden sits level with the fair rent (K ≈ 1). In Deal 2 the burden is nearly three times the fair level — what looks like "bigger and longer" is in fact an overpayment for shifting the burden into a long term.

Client conclusion
Both deals: Balance = 1,000. Verdict by K and A.
Deal 1 (90 000 · 91 mo): K = 0,996 · A = 1,00 · ID 4 386JUSTIFIED
Deal 2 (200 000 · 240 mo): K = 0,347 · A = 0,67 · ID 6 492NOT JUSTIFIED
What this means for you. Deal 1 is economically sound: its total burden (1 115,81) fits within the fair cost of using the asset, and market rent is fair (A = 1,00). Deal 2 is not: the fair cost of use (1 649,90) is above the real market, and the burden (4 749,41) exceeds it threefold. A higher income (ID 6 492 vs 4 386) only makes Deal 2 affordable, not justified — you are simply allowing yourself a structurally poor deal.
Recommendation. Choose what is economically justified, not what you "can afford". If you want a larger asset, do not stretch the term (it only hides the burden) — move the parameters that actually push K to 1 and above: lower rate, larger down payment, lower asset price. Judge the deal by K and A, not by the phrase "we can afford the payment".

How to read the indicators. K — efficiency coefficient: K ≥ 1 — deal justified, K < 1 — not justified. A — market-conditions coefficient: A ≈ 1 — market is fair, A < 1 — fair rent above market, asset overpriced for the market. B — match index, a simple ratio of rent to payment (not a criterion of justification). ID — indicative income: a derived quantity, the income the deal requires from the household at a 40% share of budget; the higher it is, the more "affordable", but not more "justified". Balance — the equilibrium point between tenant and landlord, found by solving for the rent rate; by itself it gives no verdict.

This tool is intended exclusively for analytical purposes and is not personal financial, mortgage, tax, legal or investment advice. Results depend on the accuracy of the input data.